The Italian economy is resilient but
there is a risk of GDP falling, the International Monetary Fund
said Wednesday.
In a report also hailing the government's pledge to bring down
debt, the IMF said the Italian economy has navigated the effects
of the war in Ukraine well, proving to be "resilient" to shocks.
After growing by 3.7% in 2022, growth is expected to enter a
slower phase with "mainly downside risks" to growth, which the
IMF on Tuesday put at 1.1% in 2023 and 0.9% in 2024. However,
the Fund emphasises that "the overall risk of stress on Italy's
sovereign debt is moderate"
The IMF went on to highlight the importance of decisively
reducing public debt and applauded the Italian authorities'
commitment in this regard, the fund said at the end of the
Article IV consultations, emphasising that the short-term
adjustments decided upon are adequate.
"In the medium to long term, a strong primary surplus is needed
to support a decisive debt reduction," the Fund noted, pointing
out that the consolidation will have to be supported by
"efficient and well-defined measures".
Italy's debt-to-GDP ratio was 143.5% in the January-March 2023
period, down from 144.4% in the previous quarter, Eurostat said
on Friday.
Italy has the second highest debt in the eurozone after Greece.
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