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Consumers gloomy after 'black summer'

Consumers gloomy after 'black summer'

Confidence dropping as outlook for jobs, income bleak

Rome, 27 August 2014, 16:49

ANSA Editorial

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-     ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
- ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Consumer confidence continued to fall in Italy in August, concluding what some on Wednesday called a "black summer" of frugality fed by fears of joblessness and lower incomes amid recession.
    The latest findings by national statistical agency Istat showed the third consecutive month of decline in consumer confidence, which slid to a measure of 101.9 from the previous 104.4.
    That marked its lowest point since March, the agency added.
    It also reflects a "black summer" endured by Italians who are feeling deeply worried about their own financial conditions as well as those of the country, said consumer group Codacons.
    And autumn looks no better, as economic fears are pushing individuals and business alike to hold on tightly to every euro, the group said. That "raises fears for a black autumn on the Italian consumer side," said Carlo Rienzi, president of Codacons.
    "If there is no trust (in the economy) citizens will tend to postpone purchases...and reduce their consumption," he said. Italy has been hit by its third recession since 2008 and is struggling with high unemployment, especially among youth where almost half of people aged 15 to 24 cannot find work.
    The latest jobless figures showed a youth unemployment rate of 43.7% in June and an overall rate of 12.3%.
    Employment and job prospects are crucial to supporting consumer confidence.
    People who fear losing work and income avoid spending on anything but essentials which, in turn, damages economic growth and in the long run, job security.
    The Italian government has been trying to short-circuit that process, with measures such as an 80-euro monthly tax bonus aimed at leaving more cash in the pockets of low-income Italians, the group most likely to spend that bonus from necessity.
    Premier Matteo Renzi's government has also been promoting reform of the labour system, and has pledged to cut red tape and bureaucracy to make it easier for businesses to set up and operate smoothly in Italy.
    It is also pledging significant reforms to the justice system, a priority in Friday's cabinet meeting, to attract entrepreneurs who complain Italy's moribund justice system makes it impossible to enforce business deals and contracts.
    Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan says the government's drive to improve efficiency across the public administration means it is ready to reduce spending, streamline procedures, and eventually lower labour taxes as it works to boost the economy.
    In an interview published Wednesday in the Corriere della Sera, Padoan described "growth-friendly fiscal consolidation" but also acknowledged that Italy must lower its growth forecasts for 2014.
    "The current situation is worse than expected and no one is happy about it," he told the newspaper.
    Padoan did not give a new forecast to replace the Renzi government's previous prediction of a 0.8% expansion in 2014.
    That forecast was destroyed when Istat reported recently that in the second quarter of this year, the economy actually shed 0.2% and, following a 0.1% contraction in Q1, fell back into recession. Italy is not alone in the crisis, as recent reports show the rest of the eurozone is also struggling with disinflation and sluggish growth which, Padoan said, shows that the region must work together to stimulate economic expansion.
   

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