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Padoan spars with EU over budget

Padoan spars with EU over budget

Bank of Italy says QE means stronger than expected growth

Rome, 27 January 2015, 19:34

ANSA Editorial

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© ANSA/EPA

© ANSA/EPA
© ANSA/EPA

Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan on Tuesday denied suggestions that Italy was violating European Commission budget rules and said the country was making every effort to reduce its massive debt.
    "I know there is the perception that Italy is breaking the rules but look carefully at the figures, it's not true," Padoan said in an appearance before the European Parliament.
    "We stick to the rules better than others despite the high debt, which we are making every effort to keep on a path of reduction," he added. Italy is also introducing structural reforms "to strengthen sustainability" of economic growth.
    Padoan's comments came in an indirect response to an earlier declaration by his German counterpart Wolfgang Schaeuble on whether the EC should apply flexibility in assessing the annual budgets of member States.
    "Flexibility is not negative per se but it must not lead to a situation where the agreed rules are not respected," Schaeuble said.
    "Then it would be wrong and would destroy confidence," of financial markets in the sustainability of eurozone budgets, the German economy minister added.
    Italy has been heartened by suggestions from the EC that it will apply some additional flexibility in assessing certain kinds of stimulative spending in relation to budget deficits.
    But that has triggered concerns that excessive flexibility could not only undermine EU credibility but make it easy for spendthrift countries to avoid improving their own economic situations.
    Valdis Dombrovskis, EC vice-president, warned that Italy won't seem much advantage from flexibility for because the country's deficit-to-GDP ratio is already very close to the EU threshold of 3%.
    "Probably this will be one of the limiting factors in the case of Italy," Dombrovskis said.
    Italy's situation should improve more than expected this year as GDP growth will be "significantly higher than the latest forecast," thanks to the European Central Bank's new quantitative easing program, a senior Bank of Italy official said Tuesday.
    Deputy Director General Fabio Panetta said his central bank had previously forecast GDP growth of 0.4% this year and 1.2% in 2016. He added that the ECB's massive bond-purchase program announced last week will have even greater impact if coupled with economic and institutional reforms, in Italy as well as across the eurozone.
    EC officials "appreciate" the reform efforts Italy is making to improve its economy and encourage growth, Padoan told the European Parliament. Talks with EC officials examining Italy's 2015 budget show they also understand "the exceptional circumstances" created by years of economic weakness, Padoan said. Italy has not seen any real growth since 2008 while unemployment and business failures have increased and inflation fallen at times below zero. Still, Padoan predicted that times will get better and economic growth will help Italy to pay down its massive debt of more than two trillion euros - more than 130% of GDP - beginning next year.
    "We respect the rules, we are one of the EU countries that doesn't go over the (budget) limits," Padoan told Sky news. "From 2016, the debt will be on a downward path, guaranteeing stability". The EC last year deferred a decision on whether to approve Italy's 2015 budget until March, expressing concerns about the lack of debt-reduction measures.
   

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